Minicast Episode 15: Boston Terror and Silver Update

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Today’s Episode is a somber one…

I wanted to speak briefly on the events of yesterday’s terrorist attack in Boston, what my fears are about this even and what comes after and most importantly to send out my thoughts and prayers to all those affected by this.

I also wanted to talk about the recent dips in the Precious metals markets.  It was hard to move from something so terrible to something so mundane as precious metals, however I don’t want to dwell on the negative, to give my thoughts and prayers to the families as well as help to continue to provide information to all of you out there.

I speak about…

  • Why its a good time to buy
  • Why I don’t give financial advice, it is ultimately up to you
  • Where I think the markets are going

Thank you for listening, in times like these remember and be thankful for all you have and all those around you.  God Bless.

 

Notes:

 

 


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Ways to profit from the Obama Second Term

Sounds weird right?

Im not saying Im happy he won, but as preppers we dont always get to pick our battles or circumstances, but we can be PREPARED for them, and thrive.

Just like my other disclaimers, this is my opinion.

Take what i have to say, check it out, do your OWN research, see if it works best for you, make your own decision, and then live with that decision.  I dont say this to “cover my bases” or that i really dont believe in what im saying, its because well…life is unpredictable, you can be 99% sure of something, but on occasion that 1% can really bite your ass, and often Hard!

  1. HEALTH CARE COMPANIES

Obamacare, like it or not, is going to be enacted, the mandate will come to pass and EVERYONE will now have “access” to healthcare and eventually this will turn into a British style NHS system, where you wont have Aetna or BCBS, but a government run national system, thats just how it will be, its not written to do that immediately but it is written so that eventually the ability for insurance companies will operate will not be profitable as people jump to the government funded one.

I know i say go into metals, but that doesnt mean you cant profit in the stock market on occassion, despite the underlying foundations of our economy and coming collapse, you can still make money.  Even after Black Friday (The Great Depression) people still made money in the market.

I would look at not insurance companies but pharmaceuticals and medical supply companies.

BE WARY OF MEDICAL SUPPLY PRODUCERS!

In the new bill there is a tax on these companies at 2.3%, well for their products going online next year (2013).  This well be everything from wheelchairs to pacemakers.  This “tax” will be passed onto the consumer, however the bill offsets this by allowing more “access” to products by those covered under the bill.  The increase demand could mean higher profits and stock prices, but for some companies that work on small margins of profit, this may mean a death knell, just be careful.

I would look at pharmaceutical companies, there will be an even larger demand for their products, especially the manufacturers of generics once the people of the country get “free” access to them.

Companies like

  • Prizer (+70% since 08′)
  • United Health Group (+73% since 08′)
  • SPDR Health Care (+252% since 08′)
  • Alexion Pharmaceuticals (+31% since 2010)

These are not guarantees but they have been showing promise over the last years since O’ took office.

2. HOME BUILDING/REAL ESTATE

Now does this mean i think Real estate Will come back to the 90′s/00′s level and be fine again everything will be grand?

NO! Home prices as well as real estate were never allowed to correct, they have alot more to fall

However the new QE infinity will probably boost prices before they begin to drop again to correct the price issue they were never allowed to in 2008

However in the short term, smart trading could net you some profit.

  • Lennar
  • Pulte Group
  • Louisiana Pacific
  • Nationstar financial
  • Home Loan Services

 

3. Financial Services

These are credit companies, will they fall to new lows once the monetary/debt bubble pops?

Yes, but until that happens they will continue to rise as Americans feel the false recovery occuring, they will start to spend more, but spend smartly and not be as delinquent as trends have been showing.

  • Discover Financial Services
  • Capital One Financial
  • Mastercard

These are risky, but could be a payout, if you play it smart, read the tea leaves, and pay attention.

DO YOUR HOMEWORK!

 

WHAT TO WATCH OUT FOR

  1. Do not invest in ANY companies that run FOR PROFIT colleges such as
  • Everest College owned by Corinthian Colleges
  • Art Institute owned by Education Management Corp
  • Sanford Brown owned by Career Education Corp

to name a few.  While experts dont expect new regulations, you can guess there will be more “scrutiny” and perhaps witholding of grants or the now federally managed student loans for these colleges.  The Teachers Unions are strong and will probably do whatever they can to eliminate ANY competition.

2. ENERGY/COAL RELATED STOCKS

Stay out of Coal, Stay out of Coal, Stay out of Coal

Big things are coming down and coal producers are going to be hit hard, as well as companies that provide energy from coal producing plants.  Things will get passed to the consumer, but they will also hurt.

 

CONCLUSION

Obama will be good for some areas and not others in the short term, however the system is cracking, the massive amounts of stimulus are currently being held in reserve by various banks and financial institutions, once that dam breaks and the VELOCITY of that money makes it way into the system, dollars will be devalued, anything denominated in dollars will be devalued, and things of intrinsic value will become more important.

ie: commodities like grains, gold, etc.

Thats where your preps come in, so you are now eating $1 cans of food that are now listed at $15, and while others are losing thier life savings in 401k’s that are being devalue as the dollar loses its worth, the gold or silver you have will continue to hold its value relative to the dollars loss.

I would reccomend these things most of all.

Food: To eat, to live on and survive and to help out your families and friends, while the prices skyrocket your are comfortable.

Land: To live and thrive on, grow your own food, raise animals for meat.

Metals: Mostly silver to continue to be able to trade that silver for dollars to buy what you need, that silver will still buy what it did when you bought it, while the dollars in the bank will buy less and less.

These ideas for stocks and companies to buy shares in are for informational purposes, you make the decision.  In the end, these three things above will carry you farther than anything else.


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HYPERINFLATION: The Reality

While flicking through the internet i came upon an old friend from my childhood…Cracked.com (from cracked magazine) and they had a very interesting article on hyperinflation in Hungary…so I decided to add a few others to help round these out for a good picture of the issue, and what it really means

HUNGARY 1945-1946

After their loss in WWI (1918) Hungary went through a period of hyperinflation, but luckily the League of Nations was able to give them a big fat loan, which helped ease their issues for the short-term.  The government then wisely replaced the KORONA with the gold backed PENGO, which for a time afterwards gave them the most stable currency in the region.  When the Great Depression hit them, it knocked the crap out of their agricultural currency (We often forget the Depression was worldwide and not just in the good ole’ US of A).  This was combined with the fact that the government had decided to go back to the tried and true method of printing money (and more as times got harder) and inflation kicked in…HARD (sound familiar???).  This resulted in possibly the worst hyperinflation in history with 13,600,000,000,000,000 total inflation, going up 200% a day and prices doubling in as little as every 15 hours!

As with all intelligent government action when faced with runaway inflation, they printed more, and more, and more and more resulting in the 100,000,000,000,000,000,000 Pengo note…thats right the HUNDRED QUINTILLION PENGO NOTE!

Eventually the government got rid of the Pengo, was given massive foreign investment and backed their currency with gold, and the situation improved.


 

ARGENTINA 1975-1992

At the beginning to the 20th Century, Argentina was the 7th richest Nation in the world (Currently held by Brazil right below the U.K).  By the 1980′s Argentina had borrowed a lot of money…ALOT of money from foreign creditors, countries and others.  Spending was also out of control, as around 30% of the countries GDP was government spending.  When the foreign money dried up, the currency went into free fall, prices skyrocketed and grocery stores would actually have men with microphones announcing the prices of items, which sometimes increased 30% or more every few hours.  In 1975 the largest denomination was a 1,000 Peso, by 1979 there was a 10,000 Peso and by 1981 the 1,000,000 peso note was introduced.  In 1983 the Peso Argentino was introduced, In 1985 the Austral was introduced and then in 1992 the New Peso was minted.  In 2008 there was a “coin shortage”, no coins could be found and commerce was immobilized, large businesses refused to sell anything and smaller business literally paid your change in candy and small items.  Banks refused even under threat of fines to give out more than a few coins, and bus companies would amass coins from fares and then sell them at rates like “20 bucks for one quarter”.  The monetary and fiscal policies that led to this are still around, and inflation still has not been tamed.

 

This book written by Fernando Ferfal Aguirre, who live through and escaped the Hyperinflation nightmare in Argentina

ZIMBABWE 2000-Present

When Zimbabwe became their own nation, their currency was actually more valuable than the dollar, similar to exchange rates for the Euro now.  Through numerous government policies of racially based land seizures and massive printing of money, Zimbabwe destroyed her currency and economy.  Early in this century inflation began to hit the country, by 2004 Inflation hit 624% and by 2006 it was 1730%.  The government attempted to curb this by introducing a New Zimbabwe dollar at a rate of 1 to 1,000, but the faulty policies were still present and yearly inflation increased by 11,000%.  In 2008 the 100 and 250 million dollar notes were introduced within three weeks the 5, 25 and 50 BILLION dollar notes were printed.  In august of 2008 a new currency was established and the annual inflation rate is 500 quintillion percent and monthly increase of 18 Billion percent.  Currently they are using a combination of foreign currencies, but as of this year no decision has been made.

 

SO WHATS THE DEAL?

Well here’s the deal…Too often we get all freaked out over hyperinflation due to the fact that well…we are going down the same road, enacting the same policies and expecting different results.  Well we can expect different results, and we are experiencing them, at least for now.  From what you read out there you usually get two opinions…

1) That these were different times, different countries and the U.S. is different because we are the reserve world currency, and even in a bad economy we still are the economic driver of the world

2) We are two steps from being Zimbabwe and very soon we will be experiencing hyperinflation (usually this is said year after year after year)

 

They are BOTH RIGHT!

 

We are different, We have the worlds reserve currency, anyone that buys oil must first convert to dollars, which strengthens our currency.  We are also the economic powerhouse of the world…for the time being, and that gives us a lot of leverage in the world and over the economic workings of the world which we can bend to our benefit.  Unfortunately if that wasnt true we WOULD be in the same boat as these other countries, and WE WILL experience this to some degree or another, so the second guy is right as well.

Our status as the reserve currency is ending and we can see that with countries like Russia and India buying oil from Iran with gold, sooner or later when our economy, influence and power deteriorates further more countries will start to ask…”Why can we buy oil with OUR money?” and they will start to do so and we will be powerless to stop it, and a FLOOD of dollars will come back to us, which will be another big log of straw on the proverbial camels back.

We are doing and have been doing the same things as the countries listed above. Like Hungary and Zimbabwe we have been devaluating our currency and run FAR off any kind of ‘Standard’ that has every existed.  Like Argentina we have been running up massive deficits, but have been hiding it with massive pumping of money into the system, because WE HAVE the reserve currency and as bad as things are here in the U.S. we are still the best show in town for the moment.  With the massive wealth in retirement accounts in this country being redirected from Money Market accounts to Government bonds we are able to continue to hide the true devaluation of our currency behind accountant sleight of hand tricks…not really sleight of hand you just have to pay attention and you will see it with your own eyes!

 

*The book on the Argentinian Hyperinflation is an affiliate link, this site will get a small commission from Amazon if you buy the book after you click the link*


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Why Silver is a Better Buy

In my section on Prepper Precious Metals Investing, I opine quite a bit on why I think that Silver is better overall than Gold.  Allow me to rehash a bit.

Whats Better about Silver?

  • Silver is kind of like the Poor mans Gold, You can buy large quantities for relatively cheap prices.  1 oz of Silver will run you a little over $30 right now, while Gold is over $1600.
  • You can buy Junk Silver at a extremely low premium, and It is easily identifiable and recognized.
  • Lets face it, most of us buy it for the collapse scenario, or at least a economic meltdown scenario where metals and barter will emerge as a driving force of commerce.  You wont be buying yachts and mansions, you will be wanting to use your Prepper Silver to buy household goods and food.  With 1 oz of gold you could probably get half a cow, but you dont need that you need some ground beef.  What are you going to do? saw it in 1/16th’s?  A few Junk Silver dimes and quarters could get that done.
  • Silver I feel has a lot farther to go than Gold does, relative to the price point right now (Ill explain that in just a bit)

Redeeming Qualities of Gold

  • Gold is also easily recognizable, and accepted as something of value in any society throughout History (for the most part).
  • Gold can make a more COMPACT form of wealth, versus silver.  1 oz of gold would be 40 silver eagles, which is  a HUGE space and weight difference.  Gold could also do well for the big purchases, say someone was folding up their ranch, and maybe they dont want 5 backpacks full of silver versus a Crown Royal Bag of Gold.
  • This reason is the same as before. Compact, I heard a great reason for holding gold from someone, and I wish i could remember what podcast it was, but it escapes me.  For a Family that say lives in the city, or plans to leave the country, you can hide your savings in Gold on your person and in items very easily compared to that same amount in silver.  You could have a fake beltbuckle and have enough wealth stashed to feed your family for months if you really needed to head out quick.

 

Historical Reasons for Buying Silver now

Like i said in the Prepper Precious Metals page, Historically there has always been a yin/yang relationship between Gold and Silver.  Usually its measured in a 27.28-1 ratio, that is 27.28 ounces of silver in the ground throughout the world for every 1 oz of Gold, hence why gold is worth more.

This rate is currently at 50:1, and that too me means that Gold is either over valued or that Silver is undervalued.  Thus if you buy gold, maybe it is valued correctly but silver will go up, or that Gold is overvalued and gold will go down.  That being said if Silver was being true to its Historical average, the price SHOULD be $61 an ounce.

This chart shows the last 324 years, of Gold to Silver Price ratios, and you can see how there has been a lot of stability until the time of the Civil War.  right around the beginning of the 1920′s it dipped to the pre-Civil War ratio and then jumped back up….hmm around the time the Federal Reserve came into effect and skyrocketed after the fleecing of American Citizens Metals under FDR.

The original article can be found at Seekingalpha.com and it gets into some real nitty gritty numbers, but i don’t want to regurgitate that here!  Read it for yourself and make an informed decision.  Remember get multiple sources and make your own decision, I cant prep for you, nor can anyone else, just you!

How/Where to Buy

I have always bought my Silver and Gold from Bulliondirect.com  This is not an affiliate link or anything, im not associated with them in anyway.  Ive always been pleased with the product and they offer a neat option called the “nucleo market” which is like an ebay for precious metals.  You can look at the current bids for a product and the current asks.  You can then put in an order for say $10 face 90% pre-1965 coins for $205.  when someone who wants to sell offers theirs at that price you are matched up and your order is filled either fully or partially.  Also look on ebay people can sell their stuff at decent prices, you just have to watch, and ebay offers some protections against it being fake or not the quality that was listed.

I Prefer Junk Silver over anything else, you get more silver per dollar than silver eagles or anything.  The nice thing about silver eagles and other minted coins is that you do get some  numismatic value (the value of the coin’s prettiness over the spot price of silver).  With this, even if things don’t go bad they are now an heirloom item you can pass down.  Know that spot price is just a median range for buyers and sellers to go use, its not a guarantee. As a buy you will almost always buy above spot price (if the seller didn’t sell it above that then they wouldn’t make much profit depending).

I always go for quantity over the numismatic value, but there is a point to be made for buying minted coins.  people can see them and recognize them immediately and know their worth and value as well as authenticity, with a run of coins that are stamped with local business (or as some that i bought, saying they are good for one or more beers throughout the world) they don’t have the official “you can trust us” look to them.  Don’t buy big bars, those can and have been faked or had steel rods inserted into them (most aren’t faked, but its not worth it to do that for coins, so you’re pretty much guaranteed the real deal).  Know the weight and feel of your coin, so you know what to look for in others.

I would buy  numismatic coin book with all the measurements as well as a coin calipers to measure the correct dimension to authenticate it.  This could be real helpful in authenticating real coins in times of crisis if they are brought to you in trade as well as show the person you are trading them to.  With a official pre-collapse journal and proper measuring devices this could go a long way.


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FED ANNOUNCES NEW STIMULUS

The Federal Reserve has just announced that they will start their program of QE3 (Quantitative Easing i.e printing more money and spending it).

An open ended (i.e. who knows how long) policy of buying 40 Billion (Yes with a B) worth of mortgage backed securities a month, they hope will help to “recover” the real estate market.

 

Joe LaVorgna, Chief Economist at Deutsche Bank Advisors said in a phone interview “There’s strong hints that theyll do Treasury’s next” and that means more inflation of the currency.

This latest QE will push the Fed to the 3 TRILLION dollar creation mark since the process began in 2008, 3 TRILLION dollars created out of nowhere, and exists only on spreadsheets, to help assist the economy.

Of course its all good right? nope, but oh well im sure the ramifications will hurt them more than us……

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?

This means that more money will be created, that never existed before, which sucks value out of every dollar out there, in your bank, wallet, kids birthday card, the whole shebang.

Think of it this way…..

You have an ice cube…its cold and happy and doing its job, doing what you want it to do, namely stay cold and be ice

The ice is like our money, it holds its value, consistently as long as the right conditions are met

Uh oh! Now someone wants more ice so they add some water, knowing that some of the coolness of the ice will transfer to the water

Like adding water to ice, so is adding more money into the system, when you do the value like the coolness is transferred to the new money, so the older money is worth less than it was before.

As you ad more water, the ice cube shrinks losing all more of its coolness.

like our money….

Oh no…. now the ice cube is gone  it has melted and now all you have is semi-cool water….

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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The Coming Devaluation: The Fed and You

The Current World Economy continues to crumble amid concerns about Europe’s ability to get themselves out of this current mess.

The Fed will meet next week and the option of an open ended QE3 will be on the table.

What is QE3?  That is the creation of money by the federal reserve that is pumped into the U.S. economy

QE1 was released in 2008 following the crisis and QE2 was pumped in 2010

What this means for you is that your dollar is worth less.  This is cleverly hidden by numerous slight of hand trick and we really dont see the impact right now of all of this, but this signals a bigger bust when the whole thing collapses.  Its pretty simple, just like gold, diamonds or shelby cobra’s the more of something that is out there the less it is worth.  If there were 50 million shelby cobras on the roads we wouldnt see it as an exclusive and rare car (which equals value).

The unemployment rate will not drop before 2014 as hoped, so the Fed is being looked at to change this.  Look for a QE3 next week as Obama I am sure is putting pressure on them to pull the unemployment down before November, this I can guarantee you.

THE EUROZONE

With Greece in a massive depression and Spain’s debt crisis building to a climax, the Eurozone is only getting worse

The U.K. reported a Q2 (second quarter of the year) GDP contraction of 0.7%, versus 0.2% estimate and business confidence in Germany dropped to a 2 year low

Today, Asian and European markets have opened “in the green” after receiving a comforting pledge by Mario Draghi, President of the ECB, that the bank will do “whatever it takes” to preserve the euro. “To the extent that the size of sovereign premia hamper the functioning of the monetary transmission channel, they come within our mandate”. The ECB and the Bank of England meet on August 1, a day after the start of the FOMC meeting, and expectations are high for additional bond purchase programs to counter the bond vigilantes. Spanish and Italian bond yields have dropped on the words from Mr. Draghi…the Spanish ten year yield dropped from 7.69% to 7.24%, still high, but moving in the right direction. Exactly what tools for growth are deployed, and what additional stimulus the central banks bring to the table remain to be seen.

Eurozone banks have run from the U.S. in the last five years cutting their assets here by a third.

(portions of this come from an article in the Financial Times)

In short the economic “recession” is in truth a depression, we just havent felt it yet, like a kick in the ass all we feel right now is the toe, which will soon be followed by the rest of the boot!

Prep now!

Get ready

GREAT NORTHERN PREPPER OUT!



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Economic Turmoil

 

With data pointing to a soft economy and no “real”recovery in sight or possible we are looking at more “quantitative easing” from the Federal Reserve, i.e. more money creation, i.e. more inflation and lessening the value of the dollar in your pocket.  Stock analysts are now warning the Euro “Crisis” is nowhere near over, and contagion is spreading from Spain to other Euro Countries, It will come to the U.S. soon, our banks and country is highly involved in the Euro zone and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a U.S. Federal Reserve move to “inject” cash into the Euro to help stabilize it.  It happened already, discreetly during the 08′ crisis.

 

In other news…

Google is now proposing and “Error 451″ to let you know the site is blocked due to government censorship.  I wouldn’t think that allegory to the book “Fahrenheit 451″ is a mistake, but Google has been becoming more and more “open” to government sanctions and prodding to “do thy bidding” in regards to data mining and releasing other information to authorities with no warrants or suspect ones.

 

GREAT NORTHERN PREPPER OUT


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Government Bonds lose their allure

Investors are getting jittery about buying the low yield bonds, and if you read my earlier post on how money is created, then you will understand that if less is bought by private/foreign government/banks then the fed will have to step in to up the money supply.  USATODAY article is here.

GREAT NORTHERN PREPPER OUT


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HOW YOUR MONEY IS CREATED

This is a long one, but its a complicated subject

Where our money comes from

When Congress needs money we don’t have (This is how we get debt)

They call Treasury, and Treasury create a bond, this means that a bond for X dollars, let’s say for 1000 dollars has now been created. Anyone can buy them, from Grandma to the Chinese government and international banks, this is payable to the holder in full with interest AFTER the maturity date (such as 10 year, 30 year, etc.)

Now the Federal Reserve despite its name IS NOT A FEDERAL AGENCY. They are as Federal as Federal Ammunition or Federal Express; they are a private entity with the word Federal in it.

The Federal reserve is in charge of “increasing the monetary base” this means that if they think that there isn’t enough money in circulation they will “increase” it, by “making” more money.  This is the “Money Supply” and that is ALLLLLL the money that is printed and ALLLLL the money that isn’t printed but is numbers on spreadsheets in financial firms, personal and business accounts and everywhere else that dollars are represented.  Now how is this done?

This is how it is done!  Let’s say that Citigroup bought the thousand dollars of bonds, so the Fed calls them up and says that they will take ownership of these bonds, pay them for the bonds and the interest that they have accrued so far.  So Citigroup sells them the bonds, but the Fed doesn’t use the money with dollars, there isn’t ANY cash exchanged as you or I would understand it.  If you or I buy something we hand the cashier money, they give us the item, everyone is happy.  What the fed does is they go into their Big spreadsheet (this is simplified so don’t berate me with technicalities and “it’s not just one spreadsheet” I know this!).  they go into their mondo spreadsheet that they have and put in column {send Citigroup 1,000 dollars} they push the enter button, and now the 1,000 dollars are in Citigroups accounts and the bonds with interest are in the Federal Reserve’s spreadsheet. Now this is how money is truly “made”, it isn’t printed as they say all the time, only 3% of the US dollars is printed the rest is on spreadsheets! So now the U.S. government owes the Fed the original 1,000 with interest, and now that money is now “in circulation” within the money supply. So now there are 1,000+ more dollars in the money supply.  This sounds a bit crazy right? That the Fed can just punch a few numbers into their system, Citigroup gets their money with a little interest and the Fed gets that money, but WITH NO ACTUAL MONEY to back up their purchase.  This would be the same as you writing IOU’s to your neighbors, but well….without the IOU’S.

Now the banks themselves get in the game! And this is where the money really takes off.  Citigroup takes that money, and they don’t just keep it in their accounts.  This money now goes into their system and creates MORE MONEY!  They can loan up to 90% of the value of the money in their account, so they take that 900 bucks they can loan and loan it out to you to go buy a new crappy car. You take that money and go and spend it.  Now you can see where MORE money is created than actually exists, and this is where it gets crazy.  THEY DON’T ACTUALLY “GIVE” YOU THE 900 DOLLARS. They do the same thing the Fed does.  They don’t give you that 900, they put down in their spreadsheet to transfer you that money, but it doesn’t leave their accounts to you. They take the collateral (the car) and put that on their books since they will take receivership of the item as restitution if you DON’T pay the loan. So with this the bank has taken the 1000 dollars, kept 100 in reserve, made an entry that you took 900 for the car, put the car as collateral against that 900 dollars. So then whoever bought that car, takes that money and puts it in their bank, now if it’s the same bank they have the original 900 or so back in their accounts (Since all our savings are on their balance sheets and can be borrowed against). Even if it’s a different bank, it’s still “fake” money that has been created by that single loan, so it’s available to that bank to borrow and loan against.  So let’s say it’s the same bank, they both bank with citigroup.  The bank then take that 900 and loans out 810 to someone else.  You can see that this goes on and on down the line! So now the 1,000 that the Federal Reserve took out has now ballooned to 2710 dollars and more down the line.  This is ALL DEBT and it’s due back with interest to the various groups and holders! This is how our money is made. For every 1000 bucks it can balloon to 10000 in debt or more!

So here is where the FED really ramps up their craziness, monetizing debt.  So let’s go back to the beginning and let’s say that citigroup only bought 500 bucks and the government needs another 500 bucks to meet their “needs”.  This would seem like a good failsafe for Government spending within this messed up system.  You would think that congress would say “hmmm well no one wants to buy the rest of these bonds, because they are concerned with our spending or whatever reason so maybe we should back off”  NOPE this would be somewhat of a good system to cap our dollars in circulation and decrease the chances of inflation, etc.  But we have the Fed so why be concerned with little things like that!

So the Fed steps in with what we hear a lot in the news these days, “Quantitative Easing” or also “Monetizing Debt”.  The Fed then “buys” (remember earlier they don’t give anything for it; just note it in their big spreadsheet).    They’ve now created another 500 dollars, no real money given.  They “bought” the bonds from the Treasury the same way that they bought it from Citigroup earlier.  This is literally, The Fed buying nothing with nothing, but the underlying issue is the DEBT that is created by this! Because EVERY DOLLAR “CREATED” HAS A DEBT ASSOCIATED WITH IT.

So a lot of people say and after all this you may be saying…well dollars are worthless, they aren’t back by anything, and they are just created.  Well yes they are created, but they are not Worthless, if they were you couldn’t buy something from Europe on EBAY or get a soda at a gas station.  And yes they also are not backed by anything like gold or silver but they are backed by something.

WHAT ARE THEY BACKED BY?

They are backed by the intrinsic value of the U.S.

The land, the natural resources, the labor that you produce and the labor that everyone EVERYONE else produces.

Before we go into that lets talk about Inflation and Deflation. What are they really?

If you have looked at this before you probably think and its partially correct that Inflation is when you have more money (whatever it may be, dollars, Euros, yen, soda caps, whatever you use for currency) in circulation than before and faster than what the economy can produce to back it up.   For example if you had 100 dollars in circulation and you added another hundred than the dollars would be worth half as much.  This is partially true, but not completely how our money works.

If the country expands production and the economy grows and the currency stays the same then the value of that dollar is worth more, and vice versa.  The country does grow and expand production and population so that’s why we don’t consistently feel rapid inflation throughout our lives. Inflation is when there is more money in circulation than the combined population and economic growth.

Deflation is when the monetary supply (amount of currency out there) contracts and there is less of it, then the value of the dollar grows.

Now there is something called monetary velocity and this factors into how the money is valued as well.  So if people stop spending and save, if banks stop loaning out money, less money is created and less money moves around.  So if monetary velocity slows, even if the fed pumps money into the system, nothing is moving so inflation is held back.  It’s a natural check against inflation, at first, if it doesn’t move for long enough deflation occurs.

So now you’re saying well how is this? There’s still all that money around and being created by the fed.  Go back to our example of the bank’s lending that money for your new Honda.  They had taken that money from the fed and then loaned it out fractionally so from that original 1000 they put 2610 into the system.  If people stop buying then you don’t buy that car, you don’t need the loan, the banks don’t loan and that 1000 stays at a thousand, it doesn’t grow to 2610 or more.  They never really gave that person the money in the first place; the entry was actually THE DEBT that was created with the loan that DEBT plus interest created MORE DEBT plus interest after being loaned out again and again. So there truly wasn’t any REAL money being given out ONLY DEBT plus interest. So in truth that 1610 “dollars” weren’t really dollars, and when they stopped being loaned out alllllll that money from the millions and billions of loans like that just disappears.  Crazy huh? That’s how money “disappears”, it’s because we call that debt money, but it’s not, it was the debt and interest being created that disappeared, not money.

Now the monetary base contracts also when people/businesses default, or go bankrupt.  So say you bought a house for 100k and got a loan for it.  The bank “loans” it to you (remember the car) and then puts down in a journal entry that the YOU the asset is worth 100k if paid tomorrow or worth 300k if you took 30 years to pay it off. So now their bases are covered.  Tomorrow the economy tanks you lose your job and you can’t pay it.  The house is now worth 50k, and the bank says you have to pay or you can short sell for 90k and pay us with that.  You then tell them to go to you know where and just walk on the house.  You declare bankruptcy and leave.  The bank now has an asset that is worth 40k that their entry says was worth 100k, this is how (in this circumstance) 60k just disappears. It’s gone, never to return.

Now this is expected for a percentage of loans, banks account for this, that a certain amount of people will just walk away from their house.  But when thousands and thousands do all at once, this is what causes a monetary retraction, and deflation.  This is one of the reasons why the FED and Treasury pumped TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS into the system in 2008 and continue to do so now.

Why

Because the government needs DEBT and they need inflation to continue to operate. Why again. Because they have MASSIVE AMOUNTS OF DEBT. And the more inflation there is the more money there is and less its worth. So they can take the new money that is in more quantity and worth less and pay off the old debt.

Now let’s look at our debt, and what that means

THE TOTAL DEBT WILL ALWAYS BE MORE THAN THE TOTAL SUPPLY OF MONEY

If you can imagine this there is more debt in existence than there is money in circulation. So if we took every last dollar out of every single wallet, off of every balance sheet and put it in a pile, there would still be more debt.  So even if we did that, there would be no money left in circulation, so we would have a massive contraction (to 0) in our money supply, more money would have to be created to put it back in the system to pay off the remaining debt, but debt would be created to do that. That is what is called the DEBT TRAP, that’s the way the system was designed when the Federal Reserve Act was put into effect in 1913.

Alot of this info came from

THE SURVIVAL PODCAST

check out the shows here, they go into more depth, but for ease of reading i decided to type it

A NEW UNDERSTANDING OF MONEY PART 1

A NEW UNDERSTANDING OF MONEY PART 2


GREAT NORTHERN PREPPER OUT!


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Americas “Real” Recovery: The man behind the Curtain

All these charts and the heads up on this was stolen from “Theo Spark’s” Blog-Thanks for the info Theo!

The Bernie of Oz and his cronies have been busy! The so called “Recovery” is based upon Job statistics, exports, consumer confidence (translating into purchases which boosts sales, hiring of more workers, etc.)

AND THE BIG ONE…………….G……D………P  Growth

For those of you who dont know what GDP it stands for GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

GDP can be calculated in two ways one is by adding up what everyone…you…me…grandma…jose…everyone earned in a year adding in gross profits from both incorprated and non incorporated firms and taxes (less subsidies)

Or you can add up the expenditures,  exports, total investment in the US and Total Consumption,

Basically its all goods and services and the compensation for them in the country as a whole

But as you can see all the way until late 2008 the FED’s Percent of GDP was around 6%

Then all of a sudden it started rising…and now its damn new 20%

[slideshow]

So what does that mean for you?  well first ask yourself a question, if the GDP measures goods and services, what does the Fed have to do with goods or services

Well money is considered one of those “goods and services”, so creation of money counts in GDP figures.  So put it all together and there was a 12% jump in 4 years that must mean there was a MASSIVE amount of money that wasnt there before, but all of sudden is now in circulation (not physically on 3% of money “made” is actually physical cash you can touch).  So if there wasnt so much money being “printed’” our GDP, our economy would be 12% worse off than it is now.

IN matters of GDP

THAT IS HUGE!  12% may not sound huge to you and I, but to the world and the worlds economies, thats like  your boss saying..hey jack were cutting your salary 60% and we called to have your car towed!

Yes it is that big!

The good news is…

well i dont have any

Just kidding! of course i do!  the sun will still rise tomorrow, the sun will still set tomorrow night, chocolate will still taste good, a glass of fresh water will still quench your thirst and you can take another step, learn another skill, and become that much closer to your goal of self independence and reliance.

This isnt meant to scare you or anyone, this isnt meant to make you overwrought with fear.  This is to inform you as to the issues of the day.  The most important thing is for you to understand and take that step to being free!

And as we said in the Marine Corps, Adapt and Overcome.

All these charts and the heads up on this was stolen from “Theo Spark’s” Blog-Thanks for the info Theo!

THE GREAT NORTHERN PREPPER!  OUT!


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